Thursday, September 25, 2008

South Africa & Zimbabwe

A relatively encouraging sign – an apparently peaceful transition of power from Mbeki to Moltanthe.

Zuma, on the other hand, could be an issue – anyone described as owing their support to the communist party is a potential time bomb.

For all of the powersharing fanfare in Zimbabwe, things are still continuing as they were – ZANU-PF violence against the opposition, potential famine (there’s nothing like a dose of socialism to generate a consistent record of disastrous harvests and famine), and continuing hyper-inflation.

Plus, they have a crummy record with Rhino poachers. Not terribly surprising, given the state of chaos in Zimbabwe. With the population in survival mode, there’s not going to be a lot of interest in, or resources for, conservation unless there’s a direct economic benefit. Rich countries can afford game preserves and wild life monitoring; socialist ones can’t.

Look for Mr. “Get behind the Fist” Mugabe to revert to form as soon as the world is looking elsewhere.